You signed in with another tab or window. Reload to refresh your session.You signed out in another tab or window. Reload to refresh your session.You switched accounts on another tab or window. Reload to refresh your session.Dismiss alert
I am a high school student doing an international diploma programme called IB. As part of the course, we for our subjects need to do some sort of an individual project. Biology is one of my courses and I decided to perform a simulation of the COVID-19 pandemic (as most labs are closed). Now, I was wondering about the transmission reduction parameter. Could I estimate these values by using another simulation simulating the growth of the pandemic over time with different mitigation measures taken. What I've been doing is to calculate the percentage of infected individuals at the peaks for each measure then I would take subtract the percentage in each measure from the simulation where no precautions are taken. Does this seem to be a good approach of estimating the efficiency or transmission reduction parameter for the mitigation measure? I've also been thinking of taking the value of the peak for each measure and substracting that directly from the value of the peak for the no measures taken simulation and then calculating the percentage of this reduction in peaks (which is the rate as the amount of time is the same in both cases) as compared with the peak where no measures are taken. Is this perhaps a better approach? I'm open to any suggestions on how to tackle this. BTW, I've been using this simulation as a https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/ as a rough simulation for getting the values in transmission reduction. Thank you in advance for any help.
reacted with thumbs up emoji reacted with thumbs down emoji reacted with laugh emoji reacted with hooray emoji reacted with confused emoji reacted with heart emoji reacted with rocket emoji reacted with eyes emoji
-
Hello!
I am a high school student doing an international diploma programme called IB. As part of the course, we for our subjects need to do some sort of an individual project. Biology is one of my courses and I decided to perform a simulation of the COVID-19 pandemic (as most labs are closed). Now, I was wondering about the transmission reduction parameter. Could I estimate these values by using another simulation simulating the growth of the pandemic over time with different mitigation measures taken. What I've been doing is to calculate the percentage of infected individuals at the peaks for each measure then I would take subtract the percentage in each measure from the simulation where no precautions are taken. Does this seem to be a good approach of estimating the efficiency or transmission reduction parameter for the mitigation measure? I've also been thinking of taking the value of the peak for each measure and substracting that directly from the value of the peak for the no measures taken simulation and then calculating the percentage of this reduction in peaks (which is the rate as the amount of time is the same in both cases) as compared with the peak where no measures are taken. Is this perhaps a better approach? I'm open to any suggestions on how to tackle this. BTW, I've been using this simulation as a https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/ as a rough simulation for getting the values in transmission reduction. Thank you in advance for any help.
Beta Was this translation helpful? Give feedback.
All reactions